Retail traders have become increasingly bearish towards the U.S. dollar after a government report showed that Non-Farm Payrolls fell more than half-a-million jobs in November, the most in 34 years. In fact, according to the FXCM SSI which measures the positioning of thousands of retail traders, the ratio of long to short positions in the EURUSD stands at 1.22 as nearly 55% of traders are long euros and short dollars.
This
week, the the ratio of long to short positions in the EURUSD stands at
1.22 as nearly 55% of traders are long euros and short dollars,
according to the FXCM SSI which measures the positioning of thousands
of retail traders.
Last week, the ratio was at 1.14 as nearly 53% of open positions were
long. However, more long positions don't necessary suggest more
confidence in the direction of the current trend. In general, when
traders start having adverse movements against their position, many
tend to increase the size of their position with the purpose to average
down their entry price in one last attempt to recover from previous
losses. Moreover, the higher the number of long orders in a bear market
the more dangerous is to take additional long positions because many
traders are also leaving their stop losses just above the current price
action. The FXCM SSI as a contrarian indicator and signals more EUR/USD
losses going forward.
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